मार्किट सेंटीमेंट

पिछले 7 दिनों में, तेल, अलौह धातुओं और अन्य खनिज कच्चे माल के लिए कीमतों में कमी आई लेकिन अभी भी उच्च बनी हुई है। नतीजतन, कमोडिटी देशों की मुद्राओं को मजबूत: कनाडाई डॉलर, ऑस्ट्रेलियाई और यूजीलैंड डॉलर, मैक्सिकन पेसो, और दक्षिण अफ्रीकी रैंड । जापानी येन नकारात्मक आर्थिक संकेतकों की रिहाई के बाद कमजोर: व्यापार संतुलन, औद्योगिक उत्पादन और उद्योग में व्यापार गतिविधि के अंय संकेतकों की एक संख्या । इसके अलावा, येन नकारात्मक Haruhiko है Kuroda (BoJ के सिर) विश्वास है कि जापानी मुद्रास्फीति के लिए 2024 तक + 2% लक्ष्य तक पहुंचने की संभावना नहीं है से प्रभावित था । जनवरी 2021 में, यह वार्षिक संदर्भ में -0.6% था। निवेशकों का मानना है कि बैंक ऑफ जापान अपनी नरम मौद्रिक नीति जारी रखेगा.

Оil quotes continued to rise over the past 7 days. Against this background, the currencies of oil-producing countries, such as the Russian ruble and the Canadian dollar, strengthened. The New Zealand dollar weakened after the announcement of negative economic indicators: ANZ Business Confidence and Electronic Retail Card Spending.

पिछले 7 दिनों में, तेल उद्धरण लगातार बढ़ता गया। सोने सहित कीमती धातुओं के भाव में गिरावट आई। इस पृष्ठभूमि में तेल कंपनियों के शेयर बढ़े, रूसी रूबल मजबूत हुए, ऑस्ट्रेलियाई और न्यूजीलैंड डॉलर के साथ-साथ दक्षिण अफ्रीकी रैंड भी कमजोर हुए । अमेरिकी ट्रेजरी बॉन्ड नोट्स में लगातार ग्रोथ के पीछे अमेरिकी डॉलर मजबूत हुआ.

Prices for various goods and raw materials continued to climb over the past 7 days. This led to the strengthening of the commodity currencies: Australia and New Zealand. The yield on US 10-year bonds has been actively growing since early 2021. Within this period it increased from 0.9% to 1.49% per annum, and over the week - from 1.34% to 1.45%. This could have contributed to the weakening of the Swiss franc. The yield on 10-year Swiss government bonds is negative and one of the lowest in the world, at -0.23% currently.

Quotes of gold mining companies fell along with the price of gold. Investors reacted to a decrease in global risks amid massive coronavirus vaccinations. The end of the pandemic may increase the demand for oil. Thanks to this, the shares of the oil companies advanced the most. The Japanese yen fell on the back of rising yields on US and European bonds.

US dollar short bets inched down to $29.54 billion from $29.95 billion against the major currencies during the one week period, according to the report of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) covering data up to February 9 and released on February 12. The dollar sentiment improvement continued despite Bureau of Labor Statistics report US economy added only 49,000 jobs in January after losing 227 thousand in December, while the unemployment rate declined to 6.3% from 6.7% the previous month.. The drop in dollar bearish bets was recorded despite Fed chair Powell’s highlighting of headwinds to the economic recovery - saying ‘we have not won this yet’, signaling that monetary policy will remain ultra-easy as Fed kept interest rates and bond purchases unchanged. However, US Labor Department reported 847 thousand Americans sought unemployment benefits over the last week, down from 914 thousand the previous week.

The US dollar weakened noticeably over the past 7 days. Investors fear a rise in inflation in the USA amid large-scale measures to stimulate the American economy. Against the backdrop of continued growth in global prices for oil, copper and non-ferrous metals, the commodity-based currencies such as the Russian ruble, the South African rand, the Australian dollar, the Norwegian krone have strengthened. The Turkish lira was supported by the increase in the rate of the Central Bank of Turkey at the end of 2020 to 17%. At the same time, the Central Bank of Turkey intends to keep high rates until 2023 and expects inflation to drop to 10% by the end of 2021.

US dollar bearish bets fell sharply to $29.95 billion from $34.40 billion against the major currencies during the one week period, according to the report of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) covering data up to February 2 and released on February 5. The dollar sentiment improved considerably with sharp drop in bullish bets on euro while bullish bets on Swiss franc, Canadian dollar and British Pound were much smaller as Germany’s retail sales plunged 9.6% over month in December after 1.1% increase a month earlier. The drop in dollar bearish bets was recorded despite Fed chair Powell’s highlighting of headwinds to the economic recovery - saying ‘we have not won this yet’, signaling that monetary policy will remain ultra-easy as Fed kept interest rates and bond purchases unchanged. However, US Labor Department reported 847 thousand Americans sought unemployment benefits over the last week, down from 914 thousand the previous week.

The US dollar has strengthened significantly over the past 7 days. Investors expect new US President Joe Biden's tax initiatives to cut government deficits. Euro fell in price amid weak EU macroeconomic data. Core Inflation Rate YoY in January rose to 1.4%. GDP Growth Rate YoY fell 5.1%. The Turkish lira strengthened due to the rise in the rate of the Central Bank of Turkey at the end of 2020 to 17%. At the same time, the Central Bank of Turkey intends to maintain high rates until 2023 and expects inflation to fall to 10% by the end of 2021.

US dollar short bets increase paused with net short bets inching down to $34.40 billion from $34.48 billion against the major currencies during the one week period, according to the report of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) covering data up to January 26 and released on January 29. The dollar sentiment was essentially unchanged with increase in bullish bets on euro and Canadian dollar overshadowed by decreases in Pound and Australian dollar bullish bets as the European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged but said it stands ready to act. The increase in dollar bearish bets paused following Joe Biden’s inauguration and Markit report US Manufacturing PMI rose to 59.1 month for January from 57.1 the previous month, with services sector also accelerating its expansion. Readings above 50.0 indicate industry expansion, below indicate contraction. However, US Labor Department reported 900 thousand Americans sought unemployment benefits over the last week, down from 926 thousand the previous week.